2023 Grammy Predictions: Album of the Year!

The Grammys are presented annually by the Recording Academy, a group comprised of working musicians from all over the world. Once upon a time, the Record of the Year, Song of the Year, Best New Artist, and several other genre awards were chosen by anonymous, unaccountable nomination review committees within the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

However, in 2021, the Academy eliminated almost all of these committees, leaving the nominations for Album of the Year, Record of the Year, Song of the Year, Best New Artist, and several other genre awards to the voting membership at large. Below you’ll find the most up-to-date odds on the racecourse, which were calculated using the collective forecasts of Gold Derby users. We’ll be updating this table throughout the season to reflect the ever-shifting nature of those odds.

SEEGrammy Album of the Year: All the Winners in Grammy Awards History

Under the committee system, nominations frequently sparked heated debate. At the 2021 awards, for instance, The Weeknd didn’t get a single nomination despite a highly acclaimed, chart-topping album (“After Hours”) and a song (“Blinding Lights”) so popular that Billboard listed it as their number-one single of 2021 (and the number-three single of 2022). (and the number-three single of 2022). Like other musicians such as Halsey and Drake, The Weeknd has voiced his displeasure with the Academy and has stated that he will not be attending this year’s Grammy Awards. There have also been suspicions of improper voting techniques.

In 2022, the first year without the committee, the Grammys boosted the top general field categories to 10 nominations apiece, which came not long after those categories had been enlarged from five nominees to eight in 2019. Most of the Album of the Year nominees were well-known recording artists in the pop genre (Taylor Swift, Olivia Rodrigo, Billie Eilish, Justin Bieber, Doja Cat, Lil Nas X, and Tony Bennett and Lady Gaga).

Surprisingly, the R&B album “We Are” by Jon Batiste triumphed against albums with substantially higher sales. This shown that voters do not always choose the most popular tune in the lineup, even without the committees to promote less visible records.

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